Development of machine learning models to prognosticate chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus significantly complicates subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and reliable prognosis methods have been sought in recent years to reduce morbidity and costs associated with delayed treatment or neglected onset. Machine learning (ML) defines modern data analysis techniques allowing accurate subject-based risk stratifications. We aimed at developing and testing different ML models to predict shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal SAH. METHODS: We consulted electronic records of patients with aneurysmal SAH treated at our institution between January 2013 and March 2019. We selected variables for the models according to the results of the previous works on this topic. We trained and tested four ML algorithms on three datasets: one containing binary variables, one considering variables associated with shunt-dependency after an explorative analysis, and one including all variables. For each model, we calculated AUROC, specificity, sensitivity, accuracy, PPV, and also, on the validation set, the NPV and the Matthews correlation coefficient (ϕ). RESULTS: Three hundred eighty-six patients were included. Fifty patients (12.9%) developed shunt-dependency after a mean follow-up of 19.7 (± 12.6) months. Complete information was retrieved for 32 variables, used to train the models. The best models were selected based on the performances on the validation set and were achieved with a distributed random forest model considering 21 variables, with a ϕ = 0.59, AUC = 0.88; sensitivity and specificity of 0.73 (C.I.: 0.39-0.94) and 0.92 (C.I.: 0.84-0.97), respectively; PPV = 0.59 (0.38-0.77); and NPV = 0.96 (0.90-0.98). Accuracy was 0.90 (0.82-0.95). CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning prognostic models allow accurate predictions with a large number of variables and a more subject-oriented prognosis. We identified a single best distributed random forest model, with an excellent prognostic capacity (ϕ = 0.58), which could be especially helpful in identifying low-risk patients for shunt-dependency.

Correction to: Treatment of metabolic acidosis with sodium bicarbonate delays progression of chronic kidney disease: the UBI Study.

It occurred to us that a simple but significant calculation error was made in Table 2 in the dose of bicarbonate administered. Indeed, contrary to what reported in Table 2, the dose of sodium bicarbonate administered during study was.

Glifozines and cardiorenal outcomes.

Diabetes mellitus, with its complications, is one of the major health problems in economically developed countries and its prevalence is constantly increasing. Kidneys and heart involvement represent main comorbidities in diabetic patients often leading to organ failure. The treatments available until a few years ago are often associated with hypoglycemia, weight gain, gastro-intestinal disorders and other side effects together with serious adverse effects on renal function. The new frontiers of diabetic cardionephropathy treatment are mainly focused on delay of heart and renal failure both on diabetic and nondiabetic patients ad it was shown by last data reports. In the following review, we will focus on Gliflozins, one of the newest classes of hypoglycemic drugs that have shown to hold peculiar pharmacological properties in managing cardiac and renal complications.

Treatment of metabolic acidosis with sodium bicarbonate delays progression of chronic kidney disease: the UBI Study.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic acidosis is associated with accelerated progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Whether treatment of metabolic acidosis with sodium bicarbonate improves kidney and patient survival in CKD is unclear. METHODS: We conducted a randomized (ratio 1:1). open-label, controlled trial (NCT number: NCT01640119. www.clinicaltrials.gov ) to determine the effect in patients with CKD stage 3-5 of treatment of metabolic acidosis with sodium bicarbonate (SB) on creatinine doubling (primary endpoint), all-cause mortality and time to renal replacement therapy compared to standard care (SC) over 36-months. Parametric, non-parametric tests and survival analyses were used to assess the effect of SB on these outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 376 and 364 individuals with mean (SD) age 67.8 (14.9) years, creatinine clearance 30 (12) ml/min, and serum bicarbonate 21.5 (2.4) mmol/l were enrolled in SB and SC, respectively. Mean (SD) follow-up was 29.6 (9.8) vs 30.3 (10.7) months in SC and SB. respectively. The mean (SD) daily doses of SB was 1.13 (0.10). 1.12 (0.11). and 1.09 (0.12) mmol/kg*bw/day in the first, second and third year of follow-up, respectively. A total of 87 participants reached the primary endpoint [62 (17.0%) in SC vs 25 (6.6%) in SB, p < 0.001). Similarly, 71 participants [45 (12.3%) in SC and 26 (6.9%) in SB, p = 0.016] started dialysis while 37 participants [25 (6.8%) in SC and 12 (3.1%) in SB, p = 0.004] died. There were no significant effect of SB on blood pressure, total body weight or hospitalizations. CONCLUSION: In persons with CKD 3-5 without advanced stages of chronic heart failure, treatment of metabolic acidosis with sodium bicarbonate is safe and improves kidney and patient survival.

Very Low Protein Diet for Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: Recent Insights.

Use of nutritional therapy (NT) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients is still debated among nephrologists, but it represents a fundamental point in the conservative treatment of CKD. It has been used for years and it has new goals today, such as (1) the reduction of edema, diuretics, and blood pressure values with a low sodium-content diet; (2) the dose reduction of phosphate levels and phosphate binders; (3) the administration of bicarbonate with vegetables in order to correct metabolic acidosis and delay CKD progression; (4) the reduction of the number and the doses of drugs and chemical substances; and (5) the lowering of urea levels, the cure of intestinal microbioma, and the reduction of cyanates levels (such as indoxyl-sulphate and p-cresol sulphate), which are the most recent known advantages achievable with NT. In conclusion, NT and especially very low protein diet (VLPD) have several beneficial effects in CKD patients and slows the progression of CKD.

[Inapparent charges for the assistance to nephropathic patient on dialysis].

The increasing technological effectiveness has undoubtedly produced an improvement in clinical parameters of dialysis patients, but this satisfactory therapeutic result did not follow an adequate improvement in mortality or in the perception of quality of life as per patients. Furthermore, dialysis treatment is often associated with "inapparent charges" that reduce the perception of well-being, independently of clinical changes. Thirty years ago, we carried out a national survey on inapparent charges, which represent frustrating aspects that negatively affect patients' perception of their quality of life. Thirty years later, it seemed important for us to repeat the survey to understand if Italian legislative remodeling have introduced changes in procedures and social aspects of dialysis, as preservation of quality of life is an important aspect of the replacement treatment.

A strategy to reduce inflammation and anemia treatment's related costs in dialysis patients.

This is a post-hoc analysis evaluating erythropoiesis stimulating agents' (ESA) related costs while using an additional ultrafilter (Estorclean PLUS) to produce ultrapure dialysis water located within the fluid pathway after the treatment with reverse osmosis and before the dialysis machine. Twenty-nine patients (19 treated with epoetin alfa and 10 with darboepoetin alfa) were included in the analysis. We showed to gain savings of 210 € per patient (35 € per patient each month) with epoetin alfa during the experimental period of 6 months, compared to the control period and of 545 € per patient (90 € per patient each month) with darboepoetin alfa. Estorclean PLUS had a cost of 600 € (25 € per month per each patient) and was used for 6 months. Intravenous iron therapy with sodium ferrigluconate had a cost of 0,545 €/62,5 mg. In conclusion, during the experimental period with the use of Estorclean, we obtained global savings of 11 € per patient per month with epoetin alfa and 30 € per patient per month with darboepoetin alfa to treat anemia in dialysis patients.

Nutritional therapy in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease.

CKD-related nutritional therapy (NT) is a crucial cornerstone of CKD patients' treatment, but the role of NT has not been clearly investigated in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). Several clinical studies have focused on new pharmacological approaches to delay cystic disease progression, but there are no data on dietary interventions in ADPKD patients. The aim of this paper is to analyze the evidence from the literature on the impact of five nutritional aspects (water, sodium, phosphorus, protein intake, and net acid load) in CKD-related ADPKD extrapolating-where information is unavailable-from what occurs in CKD non-ADPKD patients Sodium intake restriction could be useful in decreasing the growth rate of cysts. Although further evidence is needed, restriction of phosphorus and protein intake restriction represent cornerstones of the dietary support of renal non-ADPKD patients and common sense can guide their use. It could be also helpful to limit animal protein, increasing fruit and vegetables intake together with a full correction of metabolic acidosis. Finally, fluid intake may be recommended in the early stages of the disease, although it is not to be prescribed in the presence of moderate to severe reduction of renal function.

Nutritional therapy reduces protein carbamylation through urea lowering in chronic kidney disease.

Background: Protein carbamylation is one of the non-enzymatic reactions involved in protein molecular ageing. We sought to investigate the relationship between urea levels and protein carbamylation, and whether a Mediterranean diet (MD) and a very low protein diet (VLPD) reduce protein carbamylation through reduction in urea levels in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods: This is a prospective, randomized, crossover controlled trial that investigated 60 patients with CKD grades 3B-4 (46 males, mean age of 67 years). The enrolled CKD patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to two different nutritional treatment arms: (i) 3 months of free diet (FD), 6 months of VLPD, 3 months of FD and 6 months of MD; and (ii) 3 months of FD, 6 months of MD, 3 months of FD and 6 months of VLPD. Blood levels of lysine (Lys) and homocitrulline (Hcit) and their ratio were used as markers of cyanate levels. Due to a lack of pre-existing data on the potential effects of different dietary regimens and in light of the exploratory nature of the study, no formal sample size estimation was carried out. Results: At study completion, lower diastolic blood pressure and decreased serum levels of urea, sodium, phosphorus and parathyroid hormone, but higher serum levels of bicarbonate and haemoglobin, were noted with MD and VLPD. When compared with FD, both MD and VLPD were also associated with a decrease in serum Hcit levels and Hcit/Lys ratios (P < 0.001). Notably, reductions in urea levels correlated with substantial reductions in Hcit levels (R2 = 0.16 and 0.17 for VLPD and MD, respectively). Conclusion: In conclusion, nutritional treatments that significantly decrease serum levels of urea are associated with reduced protein carbamylation.

Spontaneous rupture of a secondary pituitary abscess causing acute meningoencephalitis: Case report and literature review.

BACKGROUND: Pituitary abscess (PA) is an uncommon finding that is rarely diagnosed preoperatively. If not properly treated it is associated with high morbidity and mortality rates. Nowadays standard diagnostic procedures allow early detection and successful treatment of this lesion in a high number of cases and mortality has been significantly reduced in recent years. PA arising de novo in a healthy gland are defined as primary, whereas those complicating a pre-existing disease of the hypophysis are called secondary abscesses. CASE DESCRIPTION: We present a case of a secondary PA mimicking a large pituitary adenoma extending in the nasal cavity, which was wrongly diagnosed as such. The abscess showed an unexpected evolution in 48 h from presentation due to a sudden, extensive intracranial leakage of pus. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, it is rare to find PA showing a rapid evolution like this, and in the literature only one previous case of a PA not reaching medical or surgical therapy was reported. In that case, hypothalamus involvement was identified as the cause of death. This should be the first case reported of a spontaneous PA rupture causing acute meningoencephalitis. Along with a short review of the literature on the major features of PA, we also tried to identify some features which could be supportive of a diagnosis of secondary PA.

A rare association of ganglioglioma and cavernous malformation: Report of two cases and literature review.

BACKGROUND: Some glial tumors have been observed in association with different types of vascular malformations of the brain (angiogliomas). However, the association of ganglioglioma with other vascular malformations is extremely rare, with only few cases reported in the literature, one of which is referred to as "angioganglioglioma." CASE DESCRIPTION: Two patients presented with acute onset of neurological symptoms, with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) finding of cavernoma of the left middle cerebellar penduncle, and small mass of the chiasmatic region, respectively. After microsurgical excision, histopathological examination revealed mixed ganglioglioma and cavernous malformation in both cases. Postoperative course was uneventful, and follow-up MRI showed complete removal of the tumor with no recurrence after 4 years. CONCLUSIONS: Angiogliomas are very uncommon tumors. In literature, we found different interpretations of such lesions, although they should most probably be considered as distinct pathological entities. Although the association of ganglioglioma with cavernoma is extremely rare, it could be considered as a most peculiar form of angioglioma, and supports the existence of angioganglioglioma.

Controversial issues in CKD clinical practice: position statement of the CKD-treatment working group of the Italian Society of Nephrology.

This position paper of the study group "Conservative treatment of Chronic Kidney Disease-CKD" of the Italian Society of Nephrology addresses major practical, unresolved, issues related to the conservative treatment of chronic renal disease. Specifically, controversial topics from everyday clinical nephrology practice which cannot find a clear, definitive answer in the current literature or in nephrology guidelines are discussed. The paper reports the point of view of the study group. Concise and practical advice is given on several common issues: renal biopsy in diabetes; dual blockade of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS); management of iron deficiency; low protein diet; dietary salt intake; bicarbonate supplementation; treatment of obesity; the choice of conservative therapy vs. dialysis. For each topic synthetic statements, guideline-style, are reported.

Low-protein diets for chronic kidney disease patients: the Italian experience.

BACKGROUND: Nutritional treatment has always represented a major feature of CKD management. Over the decades, the use of nutritional treatment in CKD patients has been marked by several goals. The first of these include the attainment of metabolic and fluid control together with the prevention and correction of signs, symptoms and complications of advanced CKD. The aim of this first stage is the prevention of malnutrition and a delay in the commencement of dialysis. Subsequently, nutritional manipulations have also been applied in association with other therapeutic interventions in an attempt to control several cardiovascular risk factors associated with CKD and to improve the patient's overall outcome. Over time and in reference to multiple aims, the modalities of nutritional treatment have been focused not only on protein intake but also on other nutrients. DISCUSSION: This paper describes the pathophysiological basis and rationale of nutritional treatment in CKD and also provides a report on extensive experience in the field of renal diets in Italy, with special attention given to approaches in clinical practice and management. Italian nephrologists have a longstanding tradition in implementing low protein diets in the treatment of CKD patients, with the principle objective of alleviating uremic symptoms, improving nutritional status and also a possibility of slowing down the progression of CKD or delaying the start of dialysis. A renewed interest in this field is based on the aim of implementing a wider nutritional therapy other than only reducing the protein intake, paying careful attention to factors such as energy intake, the quality of proteins and phosphate and sodium intakes, making today's low-protein diet program much more ambitious than previous. The motivation was the reduction in progression of renal insufficiency through reduction of proteinuria, a better control of blood pressure values and also through correction of metabolic acidosis. One major goal of the flexible and innovative Italian approach to the low-protein diet in CKD patients is the improvement of patient adherence, a crucial factor in the successful implementation of a low-protein diet program.

[Metformin and Diabetes: still has a sense of its use in patients CKD stage II or is an additional risk factor?]

Pz woman of 62 years comes to P.S.G. for fatigue, low-grade fever, diuresis present. A history of hypertension refers to therapy for about five years, diabetes mellitus for about two years in therapy with Metformin 1gr x 3 gg / day. Blood tests: BUN 195 mg / dL, creatinine 8.0 mg / dl, Ph 6877, HCO3 5.1 mmol / L BE -29.1 mmol / l. Rapid clinical deterioration with occurrence of arterial hypotension - 85/60 mmHg, stupor. Start therapy Bicarbonates ev, is positioned in Urgency CVC and it undergoes AFB with infusion of bicarbonates 2000 ml / h for 4 hours, blood flow rate 250 ml / min., the hemodynamics has been supported with dopamine infusion 200 mg: 2 vials in 250 cc of physiological vel 30 - 40 ml / h, The pc after undergoing three AFB, interrupted the dialysis for resumption of diuresis spontaneous and progressive improvement of renal function and blood pressure. Monitored, after discharge, the parameters of renal function decreased to within normal limits, clearance compatible with IRC II - III stage. CONCLUSIONS: dehydration, fever, IRC II stadium, undiagnosed caused, in a very short time, an accumulation of metformin, which has been the cause of metabolic acidosis. The pc. saved thanks to the positioning of the CVC and to the AFB in the treatment with the infusion of large quantities of Bicarbonates e.v. The use of metformin in pcs. > 50 years and / or creatinine clearance <60 ml / min., must be subordinated to the preliminary study and periodic renal function.

[Anxiety and depression in emodialysis].

The patients in terminal uremia show anxiety and depression correlate with anagraphic and dialytic age, here evidenced trought the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS). In a cohort of 120 patients, only 100 have been selected, because of incompatibility (11.6%) or refusal (5%). The pool composed of 100 patients (59 men, 41 women; mean age of 70.8±12.07 years; 30% mean age of 74.27±3.12 and mean time on dialysis of 55.03±70.12 months, was treated with Bicarbonate High Flux, Hemodialysis Filtration(HDF), Hemofiltration Replacement (HFR), Acetate Free Hemofiltration (AFB), in Ultrapure, 40% in dialysis <24 months. Analyzing the data, the 58% (25% men, 33% women) presented level of anxiety and depression of IV° Likert, versus 16.6% of the general population. The correlation of variables indicates that among the patients under HD, the increase of anagraphyc age correlates with an increase at IV° of anxiety and depression, seen in 36% of patients with a mean age of 78.61± 5.95 (19% men, 17% women) and in 22% of patients with a mean age of 59.22± 8.43 (7% men, 15% women). Considering the dialytic time, the IV° itself correlates with patients under treatment <2 years, regardless for age. In fact 22% of these patients (8% man, 14% women - mean age of 69.31± 8.40) present a level of anxiety and depression worst than the population in longer treatment (87.36± 16.36 months), who instead represent 10% of the sample (3% men, 7% women -mean age 72.2± 11.24). This data can be read as a psychosomatic adaptation, but anymore as a consequence of the improvement of cenesthesy due to a personalized haemodialysis.

Conversion from epoetin and darbepoetin to C.E.R.A. in non-dialysis CKD patients: a multicenter Italian prospective study in nephrology practice.

BACKGROUND: In non-dialysis patients (ND-CKD), C.E.R.A. has been extensively investigated in ESA-naïve subjects but no data are available on its efficacy after switch from other ESA. METHODS: In this prospective, multicenter, open-label study lasting 24 weeks, ND-CKD patients (n = 157) receiving ESA were converted to C.E.R.A. at doses lower than recommended. Primary outcome was the prevalence of Hb target (11-12.5 g/dl). RESULTS: Age was 73 ± 13 years and GFR was 26.2 ± 9.4 ml/min/1.73 m(2); male gender, diabetes and prior cardiovascular disease were 49, 33 and 19%, respectively. Doses of darbepoetin (25 ± 16 µg/week, n = 124) and epoetin (5,702 ± 3,190 IU/week, n = 33) were switched to low dose C.E.R.A. (87 ± 17 µg/month). During the study, prevalence of Hb target increased from 60% to 68% at week-24, while that of Hb < 11 g/dl declined from 32% to 16% (p < 0.001). Hb increased from 11.3 ± 0.8 at baseline to 11.7 ± 0.9 g/dl at week-24 (p = 0.01) without changes in C.E.R.A. dose. Significant predictors of Hb increase were low BMI, low Hb and longer dosing intervals before switch. These factors also predicted the risk of Hb overshooting (Hb > 12.5 g/dl) occurring in 57 patients. CONCLUSIONS: In ND-CKD, conversion from other ESAs to C.E.R.A. is associated with a better anemia control induced by a greater Hb increase in patients previously treated with ESAs at extended dosing interval. This parameter should be considered when switching to long-acting ESA for its potential impact on the risk of overshooting.

Phosphate attenuates the anti-proteinuric effect of very low-protein diet in CKD patients.

BACKGROUND: High phosphate levels attenuate nephroprotection through angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition in patients with proteinuric chronic kidney disease (CKD). Whether this phenomenon holds true for other nephroprotective interventions like very-low-protein diet (VLPD) is unknown. METHODS: We tested the hypothesis that phosphate interferes with the anti-proteinuric response to VLPD in a non-randomized, sequential study in 99 proteinuric CKD patients who sequentially underwent low-protein diet (LPD; 0.6 g/kg) and VLPD (0.3 g/kg) supplemented with keto-analogues, each for periods longer than 1 year. RESULTS: Serum phosphate significantly reduced during VLPD (3.2 ± 0.6 mg/dL) when compared with LPD (3.7 ± 0.6 mg/dL, P < 0.001), an effect paralleled by a substantial decline in phosphate excretion (LPD, 649 ± 180 mg/day; VLPD, 462 ± 97 mg/day; P < 0.001). The median proteinuria during LPD was 1910 mg/24 h (interquartile range: 1445-2376 mg/24 h) and reduced to 987 mg/24 h (656-1300 mg/24 h) during VLPD (P < 0.001). No significant change in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was observed during the two diet periods. In linear mixed models including the diagnosis of renal disease, eGFR, 24-h urine sodium and urea and other potential confounders, there was a strong interaction between serum phosphate (P = 0.04) and phosphaturia (P < 0.001) with the anti-proteinuric response to VLPD. Accordingly, 24-h proteinuria reduced modestly in patients who maintained relatively higher serum phosphate levels or relatively higher phosphaturia to be maximal in those who achieved the lowest level of serum and urine phosphate. CONCLUSION: Phosphate is an important modifier of the anti-proteinuric response to VLPD. Reducing phosphate burden may decrease proteinuria and slow the progression of renal disease in CKD patients, an issue that remains to be tested in specific clinical trials.